Dunkerque
1–1
Metz
Fri 23 Oct, 18:00
Stade Marcel Tribut
Mickael Leleu, France
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
35%
Bookmakers 34%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 40%
Us 38%Bookmakers 40%
Edge -2.2 pts
Uncertainty ±3.5%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 38% against a market price of 40% (-2.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsDunkerque
WLLWD
- 17 Oct · A v Nantes 3–2 (xG 1.52–1.62)
- 9 Oct · H v Annecy 0–1 (xG 0.68–1.76)
- 18 Sep · A v PAU 0–2
- 12 Sep · H v Saint Etienne 2–1
- 4 Sep · H v Clermont Foot 1–1
Metz
WLDLW
- 17 Oct · H v Sochaux 3–2 (xG 1.72–1.85)
- 12 Oct · A v Dijon 2–4 (xG 1.47–2.05)
- 19 Sep · H v Saint Etienne 2–2
- 14 Sep · A v RED Star FC 93 0–1
- 5 Sep · H v Rodez 4–1
Head-to-head
Dunkerque 0 · draws 0 · Metz 3, 2.7 goals a game
- 17 May 2025 · Metz 1–0 Dunkerque (Ligue 2)
- 15 Mar 2025 · Dunkerque 2–3 Metz (Ligue 2)
- 9 Dec 2024 · Metz 2–0 Dunkerque (Ligue 2)