Lille
1–1
Stade Brestois 29
Sat 17 Oct, 18:45
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
C. Turpin
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
53%
Bookmakers 52%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Us 53%Bookmakers 52%
Edge +1.2 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+1.2%).
- Home win: 53% against a market price of 52% (+1.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLille
LWLWL
- 13 Oct · A v Arsenal 0–3 (xG 0.30–1.70)
- 10 Oct · H v Le Havre 1–0 (xG 1.35–1.34)
- 20 Sep · A v Nice 1–2 (xG 1.58–1.50)
- 13 Sep · H v Estac Troyes 2–0 (xG 1.65–0.38)
- 8 Sep · H v Real Betis 2–3 (xG 0.83–1.80)
Stade Brestois 29
WLLWD
- 10 Oct · H v Angers 5–1 (xG 3.82–1.39)
- 20 Sep · A v Auxerre 1–2 (xG 0.34–0.96)
- 13 Sep · H v Paris Saint Germain 0–1 (xG 1.24–1.16)
- 5 Sep · A v Le Havre 2–1 (xG 2.37–2.02)
- 29 Aug · H v Toulouse 2–2 (xG 3.04–1.14)
Head-to-head
Lille 1 · draws 2 · Stade Brestois 29 1, 3.5 goals a game
- 14 Feb 2026 · Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1)
- 17 Aug 2025 · Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lille (Ligue 1)
- 10 May 2025 · Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Lille (Ligue 1)
- 6 Dec 2024 · Lille 3–1 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1)