Stade Brestois 29
1–2
Nice
Fri 23 Oct, 18:45
Stade Francis-Le-Blé
G. Paradis
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
45%
Bookmakers 43%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 45%Bookmakers 43%
Edge +2.6 pts
Uncertainty ±1.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.6% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 43% (+2.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsStade Brestois 29
DWLLW
- 17 Oct · A v Lille 1–1 (xG 0.84–2.25)
- 10 Oct · H v Angers 5–1 (xG 3.82–1.39)
- 20 Sep · A v Auxerre 1–2 (xG 0.34–0.96)
- 13 Sep · H v Paris Saint Germain 0–1 (xG 1.24–1.16)
- 5 Sep · A v Le Havre 2–1 (xG 2.37–2.02)
Nice
LWWLD
- 18 Oct · A v Lyon 1–2 (xG 1.56–1.55)
- 11 Oct · H v Strasbourg 2–1 (xG 1.25–0.63)
- 20 Sep · H v Lille 2–1 (xG 1.50–1.58)
- 12 Sep · A v Auxerre 0–1 (xG 1.08–1.74)
- 5 Sep · H v Le Mans 1–1 (xG 1.12–1.28)
Head-to-head
Stade Brestois 29 1 · draws 1 · Nice 2, 4.0 goals a game
- 1 Feb 2026 · Nice 2–2 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1)
- 20 Sep 2025 · Stade Brestois 29 4–1 Nice (Ligue 1)
- 17 May 2025 · Nice 6–0 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1)
- 2 Nov 2024 · Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Nice (Ligue 1)