Jagiellonia
1–0
Wisla Plock
Sun 25 Oct, 13:45
Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku
Damian Kos
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
52%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 52%Bookmakers 49%
Edge +3.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.5% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 52% against a market price of 49% (+3.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsJagiellonia
LLWLL
- 22 Oct · H v Anderlecht 0–3 (xG 0.29–1.06)
- 18 Oct · A v Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 (xG 1.46–1.96)
- 15 Oct · H v Ararat-Armenia 3–1 (xG 2.10–1.02)
- 10 Oct · H v Gornik Zabrze 1–3 (xG 0.59–2.12)
- 20 Sep · H v Legia Warszawa 1–3 (xG 2.30–1.75)
Wisla Plock
WLWWD
- 19 Oct · H v Radomiak Radom 1–0 (xG 0.54–1.18)
- 9 Oct · A v Wieczysta Kraków 0–3 (xG 0.57–1.83)
- 20 Sep · A v Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 (xG 1.17–1.06)
- 13 Sep · H v Cracovia Krakow 3–1 (xG 1.48–1.14)
- 7 Sep · A v Pogon Szczecin 1–1 (xG 1.67–1.99)
Head-to-head
Jagiellonia 1 · draws 0 · Wisla Plock 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 21 Mar 2026 · Jagiellonia 1–2 Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa)
- 19 Sep 2025 · Wisla Plock 0–1 Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa)