Legia Warszawa
16:30
Lech Poznan
Sun 25 Oct, 16:30
Stadion Wojska Polskiego
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
36%
Bookmakers 38%
Us 38%Bookmakers 36%
Edge +2.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.6% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 36% (+2.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLegia Warszawa
DWWDW
- 17 Oct · A v Cracovia Krakow 1–1 (xG 0.66–0.88)
- 11 Oct · H v Wisla Krakow 2–0 (xG 1.32–0.83)
- 20 Sep · A v Jagiellonia 3–1 (xG 1.75–2.30)
- 13 Sep · H v Widzew Łódź 1–1 (xG 1.46–1.60)
- 5 Sep · A v Motor Lublin 3–2 (xG 2.26–1.48)
Lech Poznan
DWLWW
- 22 Oct · H v Sunderland 1–1 (xG 2.68–2.99)
- 18 Oct · H v Korona Kielce 6–1 (xG 2.32–1.25)
- 15 Oct · H v Bayer Leverkusen 0–4 (xG 0.57–5.22)
- 10 Oct · A v Slask Wroclaw 4–1 (xG 2.04–0.84)
- 20 Sep · H v Radomiak Radom 5–1 (xG 3.98–0.98)
Head-to-head
Legia Warszawa 0 · draws 1 · Lech Poznan 3, 3.0 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2026 · Lech Poznan 4–0 Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa)
- 26 Oct 2025 · Legia Warszawa 0–0 Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa)
- 11 May 2025 · Legia Warszawa 0–1 Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa)
- 10 Nov 2024 · Lech Poznan 5–2 Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa)