Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
Gamba Osaka
Wed 21 Oct, 10:00
Best Denki Stadium
Masuya Ueda
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
38%
Bookmakers 37%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
36%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 38%Bookmakers 37%
Edge +0.7 pts
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-0.8% expected per unit).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 37% (+0.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAvispa Fukuoka
LWLLD
- 18 Oct · A v Machida Zelvia 0–3 (xG 0.76–1.72)
- 10 Oct · H v Fagiano Okayama 2–1 (xG 1.34–1.21)
- 19 Sep · H v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1
- 12 Sep · A v Shimizu S-pulse 0–1 (xG 0.68–1.89)
- 5 Sep · H v Mito Hollyhock 1–1 (xG 1.63–1.32)
Gamba Osaka
DWLLW
- 17 Oct · A v Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 (xG 1.23–0.77)
- 13 Oct · A v Newcastle Jets 3–1 (xG 2.01–0.80)
- 9 Oct · A v Kashima 0–2 (xG 1.71–1.24)
- 20 Sep · H v Vissel Kobe 0–1 (xG 2.02–1.33)
- 15 Sep · H v Công An Nhân Dân 4–1 (xG 2.12–1.36)
Head-to-head
Avispa Fukuoka 2 · draws 1 · Gamba Osaka 1, 2.8 goals a game
- 22 Apr 2026 · Gamba Osaka 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League)
- 21 Mar 2026 · Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Gamba Osaka (J1 League)
- 30 Nov 2025 · Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Gamba Osaka (J1 League)
- 22 Feb 2025 · Gamba Osaka 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League)