FC Tokyo
0–0
Kashiwa Reysol
Wed 21 Oct, 10:00
Ajinomoto Stadium
Koki Nagamine, Japan
Our pick: Away win
Upset Watch LostHome win
45%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
30%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 30%Bookmakers 25%
Edge +5.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Upset Watch: underdog priced 5.1% too long by the market (2.0× our uncertainty).
- Away win: 30% against a market price of 25% (+5.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFC Tokyo
WWWWW
- 17 Oct · A v Tokyo Verdy 4–0 (xG 2.54–0.17)
- 10 Oct · H v Urawa 3–0 (xG 1.76–0.24)
- 19 Sep · H v Nagoya Grampus 1–0 (xG 0.85–0.84)
- 12 Sep · A v Gamba Osaka 2–0 (xG 2.94–1.12)
- 6 Sep · H v Kyoto Sanga 2–0 (xG 2.31–1.37)
Kashiwa Reysol
LWWWL
- 17 Oct · H v Nagoya Grampus 1–3 (xG 1.03–1.07)
- 14 Oct · H v Port FC 5–1 (xG 2.96–0.68)
- 9 Oct · H v Vissel Kobe 4–2
- 20 Sep · A v Machida Zelvia 4–2
- 16 Sep · A v Jeonbuk Motors 1–2 (xG 1.11–1.16)
Head-to-head
FC Tokyo 1 · draws 1 · Kashiwa Reysol 2, 2.3 goals a game
- 29 Apr 2026 · Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 FC Tokyo (J1 League)
- 28 Feb 2026 · FC Tokyo 0–2 Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League)
- 5 Jul 2025 · Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 FC Tokyo (J1 League)
- 11 Apr 2025 · FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League)