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Kyoto Sanga
2–2
Kashima
Wed 21 Oct, 10:00 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera Fu Ming

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
50%
Bookmakers 48%
Us 50%Bookmakers 48% Edge +1.2 pts Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+1.2%).

  • Away win: 50% against a market price of 48% (+1.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Kyoto Sanga

LWLWL
  • 17 Oct · A v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–3 (xG 0.75–1.94)
  • 13 Oct · H v Ratchaburi 1–0 (xG 0.92–0.27)
  • 10 Oct · H v Machida Zelvia 0–1 (xG 1.77–1.43)
  • 19 Sep · A v Fagiano Okayama 2–1
  • 15 Sep · A v Daejeon Citizen 0–1 (xG 0.03–1.99)

Kashima

WWWDW
  • 17 Oct · H v V-varen Nagasaki 2–0 (xG 1.30–1.35)
  • 13 Oct · A v Công An Nhân Dân 1–0 (xG 0.54–0.75)
  • 9 Oct · H v Gamba Osaka 2–0 (xG 1.24–1.71)
  • 19 Sep · A v Kawasaki Frontale 3–3 (xG 1.78–2.78)
  • 15 Sep · H v Newcastle Jets 7–1 (xG 2.46–0.48)

Head-to-head

Kyoto Sanga 1 · draws 1 · Kashima 0, 4.5 goals a game

  • 25 Oct 2025 · Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Kashima (J1 League)
  • 6 Apr 2025 · Kashima 3–4 Kyoto Sanga (J1 League)