Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Cerezo Osaka
Wed 21 Oct, 10:00
Toyota Stadium
Ryo Tanimoto, Japan
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
44%
Bookmakers 43%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 31%
Us 44%Bookmakers 43%
Edge +0.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-0.9% expected per unit).
- Home win: 44% against a market price of 43% (+0.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNagoya Grampus
WWLLL
- 17 Oct · A v Kashiwa Reysol 3–1 (xG 1.07–1.03)
- 11 Oct · A v Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 (xG 1.12–1.33)
- 19 Sep · A v FC Tokyo 0–1 (xG 0.84–0.85)
- 12 Sep · A v V-varen Nagasaki 0–2 (xG 0.80–2.10)
- 6 Sep · H v Machida Zelvia 1–3 (xG 0.94–3.14)
Cerezo Osaka
LDDLD
- 17 Oct · H v Kawasaki Frontale 2–4 (xG 2.10–1.48)
- 10 Oct · H v Yokohama F. Marinos 0–0 (xG 0.76–0.93)
- 19 Sep · A v V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 (xG 2.88–0.91)
- 12 Sep · A v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–6 (xG 0.74–4.28)
- 6 Sep · H v Tokyo Verdy 0–0 (xG 1.43–0.86)
Head-to-head
Nagoya Grampus 2 · draws 1 · Cerezo Osaka 1, 3.8 goals a game
- 17 May 2026 · Cerezo Osaka 6–1 Nagoya Grampus (J1 League)
- 4 Apr 2026 · Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Cerezo Osaka (J1 League)
- 4 Oct 2025 · Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka (J1 League)
- 8 Mar 2025 · Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus (J1 League)