V-varen Nagasaki
4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Wed 21 Oct, 10:00
Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank
Hiroyuki Kimura, Japan
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
15%
Bookmakers 13%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
64%
Bookmakers 69%
Us 64%Bookmakers 69%
Edge -4.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-7.3% expected per unit).
- Away win: 64% against a market price of 69% (-4.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsV-varen Nagasaki
LDDWL
- 17 Oct · A v Kashima 0–2 (xG 1.35–1.30)
- 11 Oct · A v JEF United Chiba 1–1 (xG 0.62–2.79)
- 19 Sep · H v Cerezo Osaka 1–1 (xG 0.91–2.88)
- 12 Sep · H v Nagoya Grampus 2–0 (xG 2.10–0.80)
- 6 Sep · A v Vissel Kobe 1–3 (xG 0.77–1.72)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
WWWWL
- 17 Oct · H v Kyoto Sanga 3–0 (xG 1.94–0.75)
- 11 Oct · A v Tokyo Verdy 2–0 (xG 1.39–0.49)
- 19 Sep · A v Avispa Fukuoka 1–0
- 12 Sep · H v Cerezo Osaka 6–1 (xG 4.28–0.74)
- 6 Sep · A v Fagiano Okayama 2–3 (xG 2.73–1.58)
Head-to-head
V-varen Nagasaki 0 · draws 0 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2, 3.0 goals a game
- 18 Apr 2026 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League)
- 6 Feb 2026 · V-varen Nagasaki 1–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League)