FC Tokyo
07:00
Mito Hollyhock
Sun 25 Oct, 07:00
Ajinomoto Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
72%
Bookmakers 73%
Draw
18%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
10%
Bookmakers 9%
Us 72%Bookmakers 73%
Edge -1.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-4.1% expected per unit).
- Home win: 72% against a market price of 73% (-1.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFC Tokyo
DWWWW
- 21 Oct · H v Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 (xG 1.69–1.08)
- 17 Oct · A v Tokyo Verdy 4–0 (xG 2.54–0.17)
- 10 Oct · H v Urawa 3–0 (xG 1.76–0.24)
- 19 Sep · H v Nagoya Grampus 1–0 (xG 0.85–0.84)
- 12 Sep · A v Gamba Osaka 2–0 (xG 2.94–1.12)
Mito Hollyhock
LLLLL
- 21 Oct · A v Fagiano Okayama 0–2 (xG 0.31–1.11)
- 17 Oct · H v Urawa 0–1 (xG 0.07–2.37)
- 11 Oct · H v Shimizu S-pulse 1–2 (xG 0.60–1.30)
- 19 Sep · A v Yokohama F. Marinos 0–2
- 12 Sep · H v Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 (xG 0.39–2.98)
Head-to-head
FC Tokyo 1 · draws 1 · Mito Hollyhock 0, 4.5 goals a game
- 24 Apr 2026 · FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock (J1 League)
- 14 Mar 2026 · Mito Hollyhock 1–1 FC Tokyo (J1 League)