Gamba Osaka
2–2
Kyoto Sanga
Sat 24 Oct, 07:00
Panasonic Stadium Suita
Koichiro Fukushima
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
50%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 50%Bookmakers 49%
Edge +0.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.8% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 49% (+0.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGamba Osaka
WDWLL
- 21 Oct · A v Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 (xG 0.60–0.76)
- 17 Oct · A v Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 (xG 1.23–0.77)
- 13 Oct · A v Newcastle Jets 3–1 (xG 2.01–0.80)
- 9 Oct · A v Kashima 0–2 (xG 1.71–1.24)
- 20 Sep · H v Vissel Kobe 0–1 (xG 2.02–1.33)
Kyoto Sanga
DLWLW
- 21 Oct · H v Kashima 2–2 (xG 0.37–1.39)
- 17 Oct · A v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–3 (xG 0.75–1.94)
- 13 Oct · H v Ratchaburi 1–0 (xG 0.92–0.27)
- 10 Oct · H v Machida Zelvia 0–1 (xG 1.77–1.43)
- 19 Sep · A v Fagiano Okayama 2–1
Head-to-head
Gamba Osaka 2 · draws 1 · Kyoto Sanga 1, 2.8 goals a game
- 29 Apr 2026 · Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Gamba Osaka (J1 League)
- 4 Apr 2026 · Gamba Osaka 2–0 Kyoto Sanga (J1 League)
- 28 Jun 2025 · Kyoto Sanga 3–1 Gamba Osaka (J1 League)
- 29 Apr 2025 · Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kyoto Sanga (J1 League)