Kashima
2–3
Kashiwa Reysol
Sat 24 Oct, 06:00
Mercari Stadium
Atsushi Kamimura
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
43%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 43%Bookmakers 42%
Edge +1.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.4% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 43% against a market price of 42% (+1.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsKashima
DWWWD
- 21 Oct · A v Kyoto Sanga 2–2 (xG 1.39–0.37)
- 17 Oct · H v V-varen Nagasaki 2–0 (xG 1.30–1.35)
- 13 Oct · A v Công An Nhân Dân 1–0 (xG 0.54–0.75)
- 9 Oct · H v Gamba Osaka 2–0 (xG 1.24–1.71)
- 19 Sep · A v Kawasaki Frontale 3–3 (xG 1.78–2.78)
Kashiwa Reysol
DLWWW
- 21 Oct · A v FC Tokyo 0–0 (xG 1.08–1.69)
- 17 Oct · H v Nagoya Grampus 1–3 (xG 1.03–1.07)
- 14 Oct · H v Port FC 5–1 (xG 2.96–0.68)
- 9 Oct · H v Vissel Kobe 4–2
- 20 Sep · A v Machida Zelvia 4–2
Head-to-head
Kashima 4 · draws 0 · Kashiwa Reysol 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 24 Apr 2026 · Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Kashima (J1 League)
- 21 Feb 2026 · Kashima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League)
- 20 Jul 2025 · Kashima 3–2 Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League)
- 8 Mar 2025 · Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Kashima (J1 League)