Motherwell
14:00
Heart Of Midlothian
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00
Fir Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
32%
Bookmakers 30%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
43%
Bookmakers 45%
Us 43%Bookmakers 45%
Edge -1.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 43% against a market price of 45% (-1.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMotherwell
LLLLL
- 17 Oct · A v Kilmarnock 2–3 (xG 2.46–1.56)
- 11 Oct · H v Celtic 0–2 (xG 1.09–2.88)
- 19 Sep · A v Dundee 1–2 (xG 1.10–1.36)
- 15 Sep · H v Aberdeen 0–4 (xG 0.77–0.91)
- 5 Sep · A v Rangers 0–1 (xG 0.51–3.93)
Heart Of Midlothian
LLDWD
- 22 Oct · A v Trabzonspor 0–2 (xG 0.64–1.49)
- 18 Oct · A v Celtic 1–7 (xG 1.27–4.24)
- 15 Oct · H v FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 (xG 1.81–0.64)
- 10 Oct · H v ST Mirren 5–0 (xG 3.51–0.74)
- 19 Sep · A v Kilmarnock 1–1 (xG 1.78–0.23)
Head-to-head
Motherwell 0 · draws 4 · Heart Of Midlothian 2, 2.5 goals a game
- 9 May 2026 · Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership)
- 11 Apr 2026 · Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Motherwell (Premiership)
- 29 Nov 2025 · Motherwell 0–0 Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership)
- 23 Aug 2025 · Heart Of Midlothian 3–3 Motherwell (Premiership)
- 10 May 2025 · Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Motherwell (Premiership)
- 12 Apr 2025 · Motherwell 0–0 Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership)