Aberdeen
19:45
Falkirk
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
Pittodrie Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
45%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 45%Bookmakers 49%
Edge -3.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 49% (-3.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAberdeen
LWLDW
- 24 Oct · A v Dundee Utd 2–3 (xG 1.58–1.54)
- 17 Oct · H v ST Mirren 3–1 (xG 2.33–1.02)
- 11 Oct · H v ST Johnstone 0–1 (xG 1.23–1.10)
- 19 Sep · A v Hibernian 1–1 (xG 0.77–1.43)
- 15 Sep · A v Motherwell 4–0 (xG 0.91–0.77)
Falkirk
WWLDW
- 24 Oct · H v Kilmarnock 3–0 (xG 2.08–1.89)
- 17 Oct · A v Hibernian 2–1 (xG 0.82–1.42)
- 10 Oct · H v Dundee 1–2 (xG 1.92–1.43)
- 19 Sep · A v ST Johnstone 1–1 (xG 0.90–0.68)
- 15 Sep · H v Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 (xG 2.05–1.72)
Head-to-head
Aberdeen 0 · draws 1 · Falkirk 2, 1.3 goals a game
- 14 Mar 2026 · Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk (Premiership)
- 3 Jan 2026 · Falkirk 1–0 Aberdeen (Premiership)
- 31 Aug 2025 · Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk (Premiership)