Celtic
19:45
Dundee Utd
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
Celtic Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 88%Books 89% Best odds 1.11 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
76%
Bookmakers 77%
Draw
15%
Bookmakers 15%
Away win
9%
Bookmakers 8%
Us 76%Bookmakers 77%
Edge -1.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.3%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 76% against a market price of 77% (-1.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCeltic
WLWLW
- 25 Oct · A v Hibernian 2–1 (xG 1.16–1.24)
- 22 Oct · H v Celta Vigo 1–2 (xG 0.59–1.27)
- 18 Oct · H v Heart Of Midlothian 7–1 (xG 4.24–1.27)
- 15 Oct · A v Benfica 1–4 (xG 1.38–3.22)
- 11 Oct · A v Motherwell 2–0 (xG 2.88–1.09)
Dundee Utd
WDWWD
- 24 Oct · H v Aberdeen 3–2 (xG 1.54–1.58)
- 17 Oct · A v ST Johnstone 1–1 (xG 1.17–1.36)
- 10 Oct · H v Hibernian 1–0 (xG 1.68–0.77)
- 19 Sep · A v ST Mirren 3–0 (xG 1.52–0.85)
- 5 Sep · H v Falkirk 1–1 (xG 2.27–0.85)
Head-to-head
Celtic 4 · draws 0 · Dundee Utd 2, 3.2 goals a game
- 22 Mar 2026 · Dundee Utd 2–0 Celtic (Premiership)
- 10 Jan 2026 · Celtic 4–0 Dundee Utd (Premiership)
- 17 Dec 2025 · Dundee Utd 2–1 Celtic (Premiership)
- 26 Apr 2025 · Dundee Utd 0–5 Celtic (Premiership)
- 15 Feb 2025 · Celtic 3–0 Dundee Utd (Premiership)
- 8 Jan 2025 · Celtic 2–0 Dundee Utd (Premiership)