Dundee v Kilmarnock

Dundee

19:45

Kilmarnock

Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 Dens Park

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win

51%

Bookmakers 49%

Draw

24%

Bookmakers 25%

Away win

25%

Bookmakers 26%

Us 51%Bookmakers 49% Edge +1.8 pts Uncertainty ±2.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 51% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.8% alone is not enough).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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LDWWL

24 Oct · A v ST Mirren 1–2 (xG 1.50–1.48)
17 Oct · H v Rangers 2–2 (xG 1.81–1.82)
10 Oct · A v Falkirk 2–1 (xG 1.43–1.92)
19 Sep · H v Motherwell 2–1 (xG 1.36–1.10)
6 Sep · A v Heart Of Midlothian 1–2 (xG 0.51–1.87)

LWLDW

24 Oct · A v Falkirk 0–3 (xG 1.89–2.08)
17 Oct · H v Motherwell 3–2 (xG 1.56–2.46)
10 Oct · A v Rangers 1–3 (xG 1.15–1.42)
19 Sep · H v Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 (xG 0.23–1.78)
15 Sep · A v Hibernian 1–0 (xG 1.95–1.31)

Dundee 1 · draws 3 · Kilmarnock 2, 3.0 goals a game