ST Johnstone
19:45
Motherwell
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
McDiarmid Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
40%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 31%
Us 40%Bookmakers 42%
Edge -2.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 40% against a market price of 42% (-2.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsST Johnstone
LDWDL
- 24 Oct · A v Rangers 0–4 (xG 0.61–4.61)
- 17 Oct · H v Dundee Utd 1–1 (xG 1.36–1.17)
- 11 Oct · A v Aberdeen 1–0 (xG 1.10–1.23)
- 19 Sep · H v Falkirk 1–1 (xG 0.68–0.90)
- 9 Sep · H v Celtic 0–1 (xG 0.77–2.22)
Motherwell
LLLLL
- 25 Oct · H v Heart Of Midlothian 0–2 (xG 1.34–1.12)
- 17 Oct · A v Kilmarnock 2–3 (xG 2.46–1.56)
- 11 Oct · H v Celtic 0–2 (xG 1.09–2.88)
- 19 Sep · A v Dundee 1–2 (xG 1.10–1.36)
- 15 Sep · H v Aberdeen 0–4 (xG 0.77–0.91)
Head-to-head
ST Johnstone 1 · draws 0 · Motherwell 3, 3.5 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2025 · Motherwell 3–2 ST Johnstone (Premiership)
- 25 Jan 2025 · ST Johnstone 2–1 Motherwell (Premiership)
- 9 Nov 2024 · Motherwell 2–1 ST Johnstone (Premiership)
- 31 Aug 2024 · ST Johnstone 1–2 Motherwell (Premiership)