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ST Mirren
19:45
Hibernian
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 The SMISA Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
31%
Bookmakers 27%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
42%
Bookmakers 48%
Us 42%Bookmakers 48% Edge -5.5 pts Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 42% against a market price of 48% (-5.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

ST Mirren

WLLLL
  • 24 Oct · H v Dundee 2–1 (xG 1.48–1.50)
  • 17 Oct · A v Aberdeen 1–3 (xG 1.02–2.33)
  • 10 Oct · A v Heart Of Midlothian 0–5 (xG 0.74–3.51)
  • 19 Sep · H v Dundee Utd 0–3 (xG 0.85–1.52)
  • 9 Sep · A v Rangers 0–1 (xG 1.10–2.13)

Hibernian

LLLDL
  • 25 Oct · H v Celtic 1–2 (xG 1.24–1.16)
  • 17 Oct · H v Falkirk 1–2 (xG 1.42–0.82)
  • 10 Oct · A v Dundee Utd 0–1 (xG 0.77–1.68)
  • 19 Sep · H v Aberdeen 1–1 (xG 1.43–0.77)
  • 15 Sep · H v Kilmarnock 0–1 (xG 1.31–1.95)

Head-to-head

ST Mirren 1 · draws 3 · Hibernian 2, 2.3 goals a game

  • 14 Feb 2026 · Hibernian 2–0 ST Mirren (Premiership)
  • 8 Nov 2025 · ST Mirren 0–3 Hibernian (Premiership)
  • 31 Aug 2025 · Hibernian 1–1 ST Mirren (Premiership)
  • 14 May 2025 · ST Mirren 2–2 Hibernian (Premiership)
  • 16 Feb 2025 · ST Mirren 0–0 Hibernian (Premiership)
  • 9 Nov 2024 · Hibernian 1–2 ST Mirren (Premiership)