Brentford
1–2
Liverpool
Sat 17 Oct, 14:00
Gtech Community Stadium
John Brooks, England
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
38%
Bookmakers 40%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
35%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 38%Bookmakers 40%
Edge -1.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-1.3%).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 40% (-1.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBrentford
DWWDD
- 10 Oct · A v Aston Villa 2–2 (xG 1.06–2.28)
- 18 Sep · H v Chelsea 3–0 (xG 2.65–0.83)
- 15 Sep · A v Reading 2–1
- 12 Sep · A v Bournemouth 2–2 (xG 0.50–1.75)
- 5 Sep · H v Sunderland 1–1 (xG 1.21–1.71)
Liverpool
WLWWD
- 14 Oct · A v Lask Linz 6–3 (xG 3.26–2.08)
- 11 Oct · H v Manchester City 0–3 (xG 0.94–1.28)
- 20 Sep · A v Bournemouth 1–0 (xG 1.65–0.79)
- 15 Sep · H v Tottenham 3–1
- 12 Sep · H v Fulham 0–0 (xG 1.28–0.70)
Head-to-head
Brentford 1 · draws 1 · Liverpool 2, 2.8 goals a game
- 24 May 2026 · Liverpool 1–1 Brentford (Premier League)
- 25 Oct 2025 · Brentford 3–2 Liverpool (Premier League)
- 18 Jan 2025 · Brentford 0–2 Liverpool (Premier League)
- 25 Aug 2024 · Liverpool 2–0 Brentford (Premier League)