Everton
0–2
Chelsea
Sat 17 Oct, 11:30
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Paul Tierney, England
Our pick: Home win
Upset Watch LostHome win
34%
Bookmakers 30%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
40%
Bookmakers 44%
Us 34%Bookmakers 30%
Edge +3.4 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Upset Watch: underdog priced 3.4% too long by the market.
- Home win: 34% against a market price of 30% (+3.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsEverton
DWWDD
- 11 Oct · A v Hull City 2–2 (xG 1.71–1.33)
- 19 Sep · H v Ipswich 1–0 (xG 2.24–1.44)
- 16 Sep · H v Wolves 1–0
- 12 Sep · A v Tottenham 0–0 (xG 1.11–0.69)
- 6 Sep · H v Manchester United 2–2 (xG 1.01–0.69)
Chelsea
WLDWL
- 10 Oct · H v Bournemouth 5–1 (xG 1.10–1.38)
- 18 Sep · A v Brentford 0–3 (xG 0.83–2.65)
- 12 Sep · H v Hull City 2–2 (xG 0.91–1.38)
- 9 Sep · H v Leeds 6–3
- 6 Sep · A v Arsenal 1–2 (xG 0.39–2.05)
Head-to-head
Everton 1 · draws 1 · Chelsea 2, 1.5 goals a game
- 21 Mar 2026 · Everton 3–0 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 13 Dec 2025 · Chelsea 2–0 Everton (Premier League)
- 26 Apr 2025 · Chelsea 1–0 Everton (Premier League)
- 22 Dec 2024 · Everton 0–0 Chelsea (Premier League)