Chelsea
16:30
Tottenham
Sat 24 Oct, 16:30
Stamford Bridge
Chris Kavanagh
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
57%
Bookmakers 56%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
21%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 57%Bookmakers 56%
Edge +0.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 57% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.5% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 57% against a market price of 56% (+0.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsChelsea
WWLDW
- 17 Oct · A v Everton 2–0 (xG 1.59–0.54)
- 10 Oct · H v Bournemouth 5–1 (xG 1.10–1.38)
- 18 Sep · A v Brentford 0–3 (xG 0.83–2.65)
- 12 Sep · H v Hull City 2–2 (xG 0.91–1.38)
- 9 Sep · H v Leeds 6–3
Tottenham
WDLLD
- 19 Oct · H v Coventry 3–1 (xG 0.90–0.83)
- 10 Oct · A v Manchester United 1–1 (xG 1.62–0.80)
- 19 Sep · H v Aston Villa 2–3 (xG 1.56–1.16)
- 15 Sep · A v Liverpool 1–3
- 12 Sep · H v Everton 0–0 (xG 0.69–1.11)
Head-to-head
Chelsea 4 · draws 0 · Tottenham 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 19 May 2026 · Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham (Premier League)
- 1 Nov 2025 · Tottenham 0–1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 3 Apr 2025 · Chelsea 1–0 Tottenham (Premier League)
- 8 Dec 2024 · Tottenham 3–4 Chelsea (Premier League)