Chelsea
0–2
Tottenham
Sat 24 Oct, 16:30
Stamford Bridge
Chris Kavanagh, England
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
55%
Bookmakers 54%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 55%Bookmakers 54%
Edge +1.4 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.4% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 54% (+1.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsChelsea
WWLDW
- 17 Oct · A v Everton 2–0 (xG 1.59–0.54)
- 10 Oct · H v Bournemouth 5–1 (xG 1.10–1.38)
- 18 Sep · A v Brentford 0–3 (xG 0.83–2.65)
- 12 Sep · H v Hull City 2–2 (xG 0.91–1.38)
- 9 Sep · H v Leeds 6–3
Tottenham
WDLLD
- 19 Oct · H v Coventry 3–1 (xG 0.90–0.83)
- 10 Oct · A v Manchester United 1–1 (xG 1.62–0.80)
- 19 Sep · H v Aston Villa 2–3 (xG 1.56–1.16)
- 15 Sep · A v Liverpool 1–3
- 12 Sep · H v Everton 0–0 (xG 0.69–1.11)
Head-to-head
Chelsea 4 · draws 0 · Tottenham 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 19 May 2026 · Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham (Premier League)
- 1 Nov 2025 · Tottenham 0–1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 3 Apr 2025 · Chelsea 1–0 Tottenham (Premier League)
- 8 Dec 2024 · Tottenham 3–4 Chelsea (Premier League)