Crystal Palace
0–2
Newcastle
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00
Selhurst Park
Paul Tierney
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
40%
Bookmakers 33%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 41%
Us 40%Bookmakers 33%
Edge +6.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +6.8% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 40% against a market price of 33% (+6.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCrystal Palace
DLLWD
- 22 Oct · A v Beşiktaş 2–2 (xG 0.46–0.73)
- 18 Oct · A v Brighton 0–5 (xG 0.77–2.02)
- 15 Oct · A v Lyon 2–3 (xG 1.62–2.12)
- 11 Oct · H v Nottingham Forest 3–1 (xG 2.41–3.34)
- 20 Sep · A v Leeds 0–0 (xG 1.06–1.31)
Newcastle
LLWLW
- 17 Oct · H v Aston Villa 0–1 (xG 1.07–1.63)
- 12 Oct · A v Coventry 1–4 (xG 1.85–1.52)
- 19 Sep · H v Hull City 2–1 (xG 1.44–1.59)
- 14 Sep · A v Leeds 1–4 (xG 0.88–2.08)
- 8 Sep · A v Millwall 1–0
Head-to-head
Crystal Palace 1 · draws 1 · Newcastle 2, 3.0 goals a game
- 12 Apr 2026 · Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle (Premier League)
- 4 Jan 2026 · Newcastle 2–0 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
- 16 Apr 2025 · Newcastle 5–0 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
- 30 Nov 2024 · Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle (Premier League)