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Ipswich
1–1
Nottingham Forest
Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 Portman Road Stadium Thomas Bramall, England

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
32%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
40%
Bookmakers 42%
Us 40%Bookmakers 42% Edge -1.3 pts Uncertainty ±5.4%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 40% against a market price of 42% (-1.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Ipswich

LWLLW
  • 17 Oct · A v Manchester City 2–3 (xG 1.72–3.61)
  • 10 Oct · H v Fulham 2–1 (xG 1.15–1.81)
  • 19 Sep · A v Everton 0–1 (xG 1.44–2.24)
  • 15 Sep · H v Arsenal 2–4
  • 12 Sep · A v Crystal Palace 3–2 (xG 1.67–0.62)

Nottingham Forest

LLLWD
  • 18 Oct · H v Arsenal 0–1 (xG 0.79–1.09)
  • 11 Oct · A v Crystal Palace 1–3 (xG 3.34–2.41)
  • 19 Sep · H v Coventry 0–1 (xG 1.10–0.67)
  • 12 Sep · A v Aston Villa 2–1 (xG 2.28–0.82)
  • 5 Sep · H v Tottenham 0–0 (xG 0.92–1.06)

Head-to-head

Ipswich 0 · draws 1 · Nottingham Forest 2, 3.0 goals a game

  • 15 Mar 2025 · Ipswich 2–4 Nottingham Forest (Premier League)
  • 3 Mar 2025 · Nottingham Forest 1–1 Ipswich (FA Cup)
  • 30 Nov 2024 · Nottingham Forest 1–0 Ipswich (Premier League)