Liverpool
14:00
Brighton
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00
Anfield
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
41%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 41%Bookmakers 45%
Edge -4.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 41% against a market price of 45% (-4.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLiverpool
WWWLW
- 20 Oct · H v Villarreal 4–3 (xG 2.41–1.59)
- 17 Oct · A v Brentford 2–1 (xG 1.54–0.90)
- 14 Oct · A v Lask Linz 6–3 (xG 3.26–2.08)
- 11 Oct · H v Manchester City 0–3 (xG 0.94–1.28)
- 20 Sep · A v Bournemouth 1–0 (xG 1.65–0.79)
Brighton
DWWWW
- 22 Oct · A v FK Jablonec 0–0 (xG 1.42–0.73)
- 18 Oct · H v Crystal Palace 5–0 (xG 2.02–0.77)
- 15 Oct · H v Kauno Žalgiris 4–0 (xG 4.02–0.04)
- 10 Oct · A v Sunderland 2–0 (xG 1.41–0.72)
- 19 Sep · H v Arsenal 3–0 (xG 1.31–1.63)
Head-to-head
Liverpool 4 · draws 0 · Brighton 2, 3.5 goals a game
- 21 Mar 2026 · Brighton 2–1 Liverpool (Premier League)
- 14 Feb 2026 · Liverpool 3–0 Brighton (FA Cup)
- 13 Dec 2025 · Liverpool 2–0 Brighton (Premier League)
- 19 May 2025 · Brighton 3–2 Liverpool (Premier League)
- 2 Nov 2024 · Liverpool 2–1 Brighton (Premier League)
- 30 Oct 2024 · Brighton 2–3 Liverpool (League Cup)