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Manchester United
14:00
Bournemouth
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Old Trafford
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
45%
Bookmakers 47%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
30%
Bookmakers 27%
Us 45%Bookmakers 47% Edge -2.3 pts Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 45% against a market price of 47% (-2.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Manchester United

LDLDD
  • 21 Oct · A v Como 1–4 (xG 1.11–2.12)
  • 18 Oct · A v Leeds 1–1 (xG 0.93–1.48)
  • 13 Oct · A v Atletico Madrid 0–2 (xG 0.98–1.47)
  • 10 Oct · H v Tottenham 1–1 (xG 0.80–1.62)
  • 20 Sep · A v Fulham 1–1 (xG 1.60–1.62)

Bournemouth

WWWLL
  • 22 Oct · H v AC Milan 3–0 (xG 3.22–0.17)
  • 18 Oct · H v Sunderland 2–0 (xG 4.40–0.13)
  • 15 Oct · H v Sturm Graz 3–0 (xG 2.88–0.37)
  • 10 Oct · A v Chelsea 1–5 (xG 1.38–1.10)
  • 20 Sep · H v Liverpool 0–1 (xG 0.79–1.65)

Head-to-head

Manchester United 0 · draws 3 · Bournemouth 1, 4.3 goals a game

  • 20 Mar 2026 · Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United (Premier League)
  • 15 Dec 2025 · Manchester United 4–4 Bournemouth (Premier League)
  • 27 Apr 2025 · Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester United (Premier League)
  • 22 Dec 2024 · Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth (Premier League)