Sunderland
16:30
Leeds
Sun 25 Oct, 16:30
Stadium of Light
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
33%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 40%
Us 38%Bookmakers 40%
Edge -1.8 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 38% against a market price of 40% (-1.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSunderland
DLWLL
- 22 Oct · A v Lech Poznan 1–1 (xG 2.99–2.68)
- 18 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–2 (xG 0.13–4.40)
- 15 Oct · A v Torreense 2–1 (xG 1.82–0.08)
- 10 Oct · H v Brighton 0–2 (xG 0.72–1.41)
- 20 Sep · A v Manchester City 3–5 (xG 3.57–2.82)
Leeds
DLDWL
- 18 Oct · H v Manchester United 1–1 (xG 1.48–0.93)
- 10 Oct · A v Arsenal 1–2 (xG 0.62–2.33)
- 20 Sep · H v Crystal Palace 0–0 (xG 1.31–1.06)
- 14 Sep · H v Newcastle 4–1 (xG 2.08–0.88)
- 9 Sep · A v Chelsea 3–6
Head-to-head
Sunderland 1 · draws 2 · Leeds 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 3 Mar 2026 · Leeds 0–1 Sunderland (Premier League)
- 28 Dec 2025 · Sunderland 1–1 Leeds (Premier League)
- 17 Feb 2025 · Leeds 2–1 Sunderland (Championship)
- 4 Oct 2024 · Sunderland 2–2 Leeds (Championship)