Union St. Gilloise
18:15
Cercle Brugge
Sun 25 Oct, 18:15
Stade Joseph Marien
W. De Cremer
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
73%
Bookmakers 73%
Draw
16%
Bookmakers 16%
Away win
10%
Bookmakers 10%
Us 73%Bookmakers 73%
Edge -0.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-2.5% expected per unit).
- Home win: 73% against a market price of 73% (-0.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsUnion St. Gilloise
WDDWW
- 22 Oct · H v Hapoel Beer Sheva 4–0 (xG 2.74–0.65)
- 15 Oct · H v Real Sociedad 1–1 (xG 1.92–0.76)
- 11 Oct · H v OH Leuven 1–1 (xG 1.29–1.35)
- 20 Sep · A v Antwerp 2–0 (xG 3.34–0.41)
- 17 Sep · A v Plzen 3–0
Cercle Brugge
LLDLL
- 10 Oct · H v Anderlecht 1–2 (xG 0.66–0.83)
- 19 Sep · A v Charleroi 2–3 (xG 2.08–2.04)
- 12 Sep · A v OH Leuven 1–1 (xG 1.60–0.92)
- 6 Sep · H v Gent 0–3 (xG 0.49–1.22)
- 29 Aug · H v Lommel United 0–1 (xG 1.25–1.63)
Head-to-head
Union St. Gilloise 1 · draws 2 · Cercle Brugge 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 26 Dec 2025 · Cercle Brugge 1–1 Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League)
- 22 Nov 2025 · Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge (Jupiler Pro League)
- 8 Dec 2024 · Cercle Brugge 0–0 Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League)
- 27 Oct 2024 · Union St. Gilloise 1–3 Cercle Brugge (Jupiler Pro League)