Fakel
12:00
Rodina Moskva
Sat 24 Oct, 12:00
Fakel Stadium
Ivan Abrosimov
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
45%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 45%Bookmakers 45%
Edge -0.4 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 45% (-0.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFakel
WWLLD
- 17 Oct · A v Krylia Sovetov 2–1 (xG 0.73–1.80)
- 13 Oct · A v FC Krasnodar 2–0
- 10 Oct · H v Lokomotiv 0–5
- 16 Sep · A v Spartak Moscow 0–1 (xG 0.07–2.54)
- 12 Sep · H v Baltika 2–2
Rodina Moskva
DLLDL
- 19 Oct · H v FC Orenburg 2–2 (xG 1.90–2.31)
- 15 Oct · H v Spartak Moscow 2–4
- 11 Oct · A v CSKA Moscow 0–3
- 16 Sep · H v Rubin 1–1 (xG 1.12–1.55)
- 11 Sep · A v Krylia Sovetov 1–2 (xG 2.51–2.62)
Head-to-head
Fakel 0 · draws 0 · Rodina Moskva 2, 3.0 goals a game
- 13 Apr 2026 · Fakel 1–3 Rodina Moskva (First League)
- 15 Sep 2025 · Rodina Moskva 2–0 Fakel (First League)