Fakel
0–1
Rodina Moskva
Sat 24 Oct, 12:00
Fakel Stadium
Ivan Abrosimov, Russia
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
47%
Bookmakers 47%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 47%Bookmakers 47%
Edge -0.1 pts
Uncertainty ±1.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 47% against a market price of 47% (-0.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFakel
WWLLD
- 17 Oct · A v Krylia Sovetov 2–1 (xG 0.73–1.80)
- 13 Oct · A v FC Krasnodar 2–0
- 10 Oct · H v Lokomotiv 0–5
- 16 Sep · A v Spartak Moscow 0–1 (xG 0.07–2.54)
- 12 Sep · H v Baltika 2–2
Rodina Moskva
DLLDL
- 19 Oct · H v FC Orenburg 2–2 (xG 1.90–2.31)
- 15 Oct · H v Spartak Moscow 2–4
- 11 Oct · A v CSKA Moscow 0–3
- 16 Sep · H v Rubin 1–1 (xG 1.12–1.55)
- 11 Sep · A v Krylia Sovetov 1–2 (xG 2.51–2.62)
Head-to-head
Fakel 0 · draws 0 · Rodina Moskva 2, 3.0 goals a game
- 13 Apr 2026 · Fakel 1–3 Rodina Moskva (First League)
- 15 Sep 2025 · Rodina Moskva 2–0 Fakel (First League)