Sturm Graz
2–2
Ried
Sun 25 Oct, 13:30
Stadion Graz-Liebenau
Safak Barmaksiz
Our pick: Home win
Value LostHome win
60%
Bookmakers 57%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
18%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 60%Bookmakers 57%
Edge +3.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Value: our 60% beats the market's 57% (2.1× our uncertainty).
- Home win: 60% against a market price of 57% (+3.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSturm Graz
WWLWL
- 22 Oct · H v Marseille 1–0 (xG 1.47–0.73)
- 18 Oct · H v Grazer AK 6–1 (xG 3.63–0.61)
- 15 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–3 (xG 0.37–2.88)
- 10 Oct · A v Austria Vienna 2–0 (xG 2.67–2.31)
- 20 Sep · A v Red Bull Salzburg 0–3 (xG 0.49–1.61)
Ried
WWWDL
- 17 Oct · H v Austria Vienna 3–2 (xG 2.94–1.72)
- 10 Oct · A v WSG Wattens 2–1 (xG 1.60–1.44)
- 20 Sep · H v Wolfsberger AC 4–1 (xG 4.83–1.96)
- 11 Sep · H v Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 (xG 0.82–1.56)
- 30 Aug · A v TSV Hartberg 2–3 (xG 1.66–2.67)
Head-to-head
Sturm Graz 2 · draws 0 · Ried 0, 2.5 goals a game
- 8 Feb 2026 · Sturm Graz 1–0 Ried (Bundesliga)
- 16 Aug 2025 · Ried 1–3 Sturm Graz (Bundesliga)