Burnley
1–2
Wolves
Fri 16 Oct, 19:00
Turf Moor
Lewis Smith, England
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
34%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
39%
Bookmakers 43%
Us 39%Bookmakers 43%
Edge -3.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-3.2%).
- Away win: 39% against a market price of 43% (-3.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 5 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBurnley
DWDLD
- 13 Oct · H v Charlton 2–2 (xG 1.08–2.13)
- 10 Oct · A v Watford 4–0 (xG 1.94–0.64)
- 19 Sep · H v Derby 1–1 (xG 0.45–1.75)
- 12 Sep · A v Swansea 1–3 (xG 1.73–2.63)
- 8 Sep · A v Wrexham 1–1 (xG 1.50–1.28)
Wolves
LLWLW
- 13 Oct · H v Bolton 1–3 (xG 2.23–1.62)
- 10 Oct · A v Middlesbrough 0–1 (xG 0.68–0.90)
- 20 Sep · H v West Brom 1–0 (xG 1.95–0.29)
- 16 Sep · A v Everton 0–1
- 13 Sep · A v Sheffield Utd 1–0 (xG 1.57–0.63)
Head-to-head
Burnley 1 · draws 1 · Wolves 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 24 May 2026 · Burnley 1–1 Wolves (Premier League)
- 26 Oct 2025 · Wolves 2–3 Burnley (Premier League)
- 28 Aug 2024 · Wolves 2–0 Burnley (League Cup)