Middlesbrough
2–2
Cardiff
Sat 17 Oct, 11:30
Riverside Stadium
Tom Nield, England
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
61%
Bookmakers 64%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 61%Bookmakers 64%
Edge -2.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-2.3%).
- Home win: 61% against a market price of 64% (-2.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMiddlesbrough
WWDDW
- 13 Oct · A v Stoke City 3–2 (xG 2.57–0.65)
- 10 Oct · H v Wolves 1–0 (xG 0.90–0.68)
- 19 Sep · A v Birmingham 2–2 (xG 2.14–1.23)
- 15 Sep · H v Millwall 2–2 (xG 1.52–1.69)
- 12 Sep · H v Norwich 4–3 (xG 2.38–1.76)
Cardiff
WLWLD
- 13 Oct · H v Watford 5–1 (xG 3.67–1.46)
- 10 Oct · A v Blackburn 1–2 (xG 1.06–1.79)
- 19 Sep · H v Charlton 3–1 (xG 2.60–1.26)
- 12 Sep · A v Bolton 0–1 (xG 1.79–0.48)
- 8 Sep · H v Stoke City 1–1 (xG 2.92–0.75)
Head-to-head
Middlesbrough 1 · draws 1 · Cardiff 0, 2.0 goals a game
- 4 Jan 2025 · Middlesbrough 1–1 Cardiff (Championship)
- 31 Aug 2024 · Cardiff 0–2 Middlesbrough (Championship)