Millwall
2–2
Lincoln
Sat 17 Oct, 11:30
The Den
Ruebyn Ricardo
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
55%
Bookmakers 58%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
20%
Bookmakers 18%
Us 55%Bookmakers 58%
Edge -2.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-2.9%).
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 58% (-2.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMillwall
LWDDL
- 13 Oct · H v Swansea 0–1 (xG 1.05–1.82)
- 10 Oct · A v Preston 1–0 (xG 1.15–0.67)
- 19 Sep · H v West Ham 2–2 (xG 2.68–1.87)
- 15 Sep · A v Middlesbrough 2–2 (xG 1.69–1.52)
- 12 Sep · A v Blackburn 1–3 (xG 1.67–1.23)
Lincoln
LLLWW
- 14 Oct · H v West Ham 0–6 (xG 0.39–3.23)
- 10 Oct · A v Sheffield Utd 0–3 (xG 1.34–0.61)
- 19 Sep · H v Swansea 1–2 (xG 2.11–0.92)
- 15 Sep · A v Bristol City 1–0 (xG 0.53–1.53)
- 12 Sep · A v Preston 1–0 (xG 0.66–0.58)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.