Norwich
0–1
Portsmouth
Sat 17 Oct, 14:00
Carrow Road
Gavin Ward, England
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
52%
Bookmakers 53%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 52%Bookmakers 53%
Edge -0.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-0.9%).
- Home win: 52% against a market price of 53% (-0.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNorwich
LLLLL
- 14 Oct · H v Southampton 0–1 (xG 1.26–2.16)
- 10 Oct · A v Swansea 1–2 (xG 0.68–2.36)
- 20 Sep · H v Bolton 3–4 (xG 0.69–1.10)
- 17 Sep · A v Manchester City 0–5
- 12 Sep · A v Middlesbrough 3–4 (xG 1.76–2.38)
Portsmouth
WLDDW
- 14 Oct · H v Sheffield Utd 3–2 (xG 2.01–1.80)
- 11 Oct · A v Southampton 0–1 (xG 0.81–1.35)
- 19 Sep · H v Blackburn 2–2 (xG 1.60–0.59)
- 12 Sep · A v Charlton 0–0 (xG 0.40–0.82)
- 5 Sep · H v Cardiff 2–0 (xG 2.07–1.37)
Head-to-head
Norwich 1 · draws 2 · Portsmouth 1, 3.3 goals a game
- 3 Apr 2026 · Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth (Championship)
- 16 Aug 2025 · Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich (Championship)
- 18 Apr 2025 · Norwich 3–5 Portsmouth (Championship)
- 10 Dec 2024 · Portsmouth 0–0 Norwich (Championship)