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Watford
2–0
Charlton
Sat 17 Oct, 11:30 Vicarage Road Thomas Bramall

Match result: no bet

Won
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 38%Bookmakers 38% Edge +0.1 pts Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+0.1%).

  • Home win: 38% against a market price of 38% (+0.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Watford

LLLLW
  • 13 Oct · A v Cardiff 1–5 (xG 1.46–3.67)
  • 10 Oct · H v Burnley 0–4 (xG 0.64–1.94)
  • 18 Sep · A v Bristol City 0–1 (xG 0.52–1.56)
  • 12 Sep · H v Stoke City 1–2 (xG 0.39–1.50)
  • 8 Sep · H v Preston 2–1 (xG 1.26–2.44)

Charlton

DDLDD
  • 13 Oct · A v Burnley 2–2 (xG 2.13–1.08)
  • 10 Oct · H v Bristol City 1–1 (xG 1.78–1.47)
  • 19 Sep · A v Cardiff 1–3 (xG 1.26–2.60)
  • 12 Sep · H v Portsmouth 0–0 (xG 0.82–0.40)
  • 9 Sep · H v QPR 0–0 (xG 0.48–1.10)

Head-to-head

Watford 0 · draws 1 · Charlton 1, 1.5 goals a game

  • 6 Apr 2026 · Watford 1–1 Charlton (Championship)
  • 9 Aug 2025 · Charlton 1–0 Watford (Championship)