Bolton
1–5
Middlesbrough
Fri 23 Oct, 19:00
Toughsheet Community Stadium
Simon Hooper, England
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
24%
Bookmakers 19%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
53%
Bookmakers 59%
Us 53%Bookmakers 59%
Edge -6.2 pts
Uncertainty ±3.8%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 53% against a market price of 59% (-6.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBolton
DWLWW
- 17 Oct · A v Southampton 0–0 (xG 1.24–1.91)
- 13 Oct · A v Wolves 3–1 (xG 1.62–2.23)
- 10 Oct · H v Stoke City 1–2 (xG 3.13–0.74)
- 20 Sep · A v Norwich 4–3 (xG 1.10–0.69)
- 12 Sep · H v Cardiff 1–0 (xG 0.48–1.79)
Middlesbrough
DWWDD
- 17 Oct · H v Cardiff 2–2 (xG 2.78–0.91)
- 13 Oct · A v Stoke City 3–2 (xG 2.57–0.65)
- 10 Oct · H v Wolves 1–0 (xG 0.90–0.68)
- 19 Sep · A v Birmingham 2–2 (xG 2.14–1.23)
- 15 Sep · H v Millwall 2–2 (xG 1.52–1.69)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.