QPR
5–0
Swansea
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00
Loftus Road
Sam Allison, England
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
37%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
35%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 37%Bookmakers 38%
Edge -0.8 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 37% against a market price of 38% (-0.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsQPR
LWDDD
- 17 Oct · A v Birmingham 0–3 (xG 1.17–1.34)
- 14 Oct · H v Derby 4–1 (xG 2.05–1.02)
- 9 Oct · A v West Ham 1–1 (xG 1.27–1.44)
- 19 Sep · H v Preston 2–2 (xG 2.54–1.50)
- 12 Sep · A v West Brom 1–1 (xG 0.62–1.22)
Swansea
LWWWW
- 17 Oct · H v West Ham 0–1 (xG 1.08–1.21)
- 13 Oct · A v Millwall 1–0 (xG 1.82–1.05)
- 10 Oct · H v Norwich 2–1 (xG 2.36–0.68)
- 19 Sep · A v Lincoln 2–1 (xG 0.92–2.11)
- 12 Sep · H v Burnley 3–1 (xG 2.63–1.73)
Head-to-head
QPR 1 · draws 0 · Swansea 3, 2.5 goals a game
- 21 Apr 2026 · QPR 1–2 Swansea (Championship)
- 22 Oct 2025 · Swansea 0–1 QPR (Championship)
- 21 Apr 2025 · QPR 1–2 Swansea (Championship)
- 26 Dec 2024 · Swansea 3–0 QPR (Championship)