Sheffield Utd
1–1
Derby
Sat 24 Oct, 11:30
Bramall Lane
Stephen Martin, England
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
52%
Bookmakers 54%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 52%Bookmakers 54%
Edge -1.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 52% against a market price of 54% (-1.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSheffield Utd
WLWLL
- 17 Oct · A v Bristol City 1–0 (xG 1.23–0.58)
- 14 Oct · A v Portsmouth 2–3 (xG 1.80–2.01)
- 10 Oct · H v Lincoln 3–0 (xG 0.61–1.34)
- 19 Sep · A v Stoke City 1–2 (xG 0.36–0.65)
- 16 Sep · A v Fleetwood Town 0–1
Derby
LLDDL
- 17 Oct · H v Stoke City 0–1 (xG 1.07–0.62)
- 14 Oct · A v QPR 1–4 (xG 1.02–2.05)
- 10 Oct · H v Wrexham 1–1 (xG 0.60–1.46)
- 19 Sep · A v Burnley 1–1 (xG 1.75–0.45)
- 12 Sep · H v Birmingham 1–2 (xG 1.11–3.17)
Head-to-head
Sheffield Utd 3 · draws 0 · Derby 1, 2.3 goals a game
- 2 May 2026 · Derby 1–2 Sheffield Utd (Championship)
- 1 Nov 2025 · Sheffield Utd 1–3 Derby (Championship)
- 1 Feb 2025 · Derby 0–1 Sheffield Utd (Championship)
- 21 Sep 2024 · Sheffield Utd 1–0 Derby (Championship)