West Ham
2–3
Southampton
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00
London Stadium
Michael Salisbury, England
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
56%
Bookmakers 57%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 56%Bookmakers 57%
Edge -1.0 pts
Uncertainty ±4.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 56% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 56% against a market price of 57% (-1.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsWest Ham
WWDDL
- 17 Oct · A v Swansea 1–0 (xG 1.21–1.08)
- 14 Oct · A v Lincoln 6–0 (xG 3.23–0.39)
- 9 Oct · H v QPR 1–1 (xG 1.44–1.27)
- 19 Sep · A v Millwall 2–2 (xG 1.87–2.68)
- 15 Sep · H v Fulham 2–3
Southampton
DWWLW
- 17 Oct · H v Bolton 0–0 (xG 1.91–1.24)
- 14 Oct · A v Norwich 1–0 (xG 2.16–1.26)
- 11 Oct · H v Portsmouth 1–0 (xG 1.35–0.81)
- 19 Sep · A v Wrexham 1–2 (xG 2.08–0.54)
- 12 Sep · H v Bristol City 4–1 (xG 1.71–2.24)
Head-to-head
West Ham 2 · draws 1 · Southampton 0, 2.7 goals a game
- 25 Aug 2026 · Southampton 1–4 West Ham (League Cup)
- 19 Apr 2025 · West Ham 1–1 Southampton (Premier League)
- 26 Dec 2024 · Southampton 0–1 West Ham (Premier League)