Baltika
18:45
Zenit
Thu 29 Oct, 18:45
Rostec Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 79%Books 77% Best odds 1.25 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
48%
Bookmakers 51%
Us 48%Bookmakers 51%
Edge -3.1 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 48% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 48% against a market price of 51% (-3.1%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBaltika
DDWDL
- 24 Oct · A v FC Krasnodar 1–1 (xG 0.83–0.92)
- 18 Oct · H v FC Rostov 0–0 (xG 0.59–0.93)
- 14 Oct · A v Krylia Sovetov 2–0
- 11 Oct · A v Akhmat 0–0
- 16 Sep · H v Zenit 2–3 (xG 1.64–0.94)
Zenit
WWWWW
- 25 Oct · H v Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 (xG 3.74–0.94)
- 18 Oct · H v Akhmat 3–2 (xG 1.46–0.62)
- 14 Oct · A v Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1
- 10 Oct · A v FC Krasnodar 3–2
- 16 Sep · A v Baltika 3–2 (xG 0.94–1.64)
Head-to-head
Baltika 0 · draws 1 · Zenit 4, 1.6 goals a game
- 16 Sep 2026 · Baltika 2–3 Zenit (Premier League)
- 5 Aug 2026 · Zenit 1–0 Baltika (Cup)
- 3 Mar 2026 · Baltika 0–1 Zenit (Cup)
- 27 Feb 2026 · Zenit 1–0 Baltika (Premier League)
- 14 Sep 2025 · Baltika 0–0 Zenit (Premier League)