CSKA Moscow
16:30
Lokomotiv
Thu 29 Oct, 16:30
VEB Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 75%Books 78% Best odds 1.24 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
48%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 48%Bookmakers 49%
Edge -0.7 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 48% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 48% against a market price of 49% (-0.7%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCSKA Moscow
WLWWW
- 25 Oct · H v Spartak Moscow 2–0 (xG 1.69–1.97)
- 18 Oct · A v Dynamo 1–3 (xG 1.91–2.16)
- 14 Oct · H v FC Rostov 4–0
- 11 Oct · H v Rodina Moskva 3–0
- 17 Sep · A v Dinamo Makhachkala 3–1
Lokomotiv
LDDWD
- 25 Oct · A v FC Rostov 0–2 (xG 0.91–1.62)
- 17 Oct · H v FC Krasnodar 3–3 (xG 2.10–1.37)
- 13 Oct · H v Akron 1–1
- 10 Oct · A v Fakel 5–0
- 16 Sep · H v Krylia Sovetov 1–1 (xG 0.95–2.27)
Head-to-head
CSKA Moscow 3 · draws 2 · Lokomotiv 1, 2.8 goals a game
- 22 Aug 2026 · CSKA Moscow 3–2 Lokomotiv (Premier League)
- 4 Aug 2026 · Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA Moscow (Cup)
- 17 May 2026 · CSKA Moscow 3–1 Lokomotiv (Premier League)
- 18 Oct 2025 · Lokomotiv 3–0 CSKA Moscow (Premier League)
- 1 Oct 2025 · Lokomotiv 0–0 CSKA Moscow (Cup)
- 30 Jul 2025 · CSKA Moscow 2–1 Lokomotiv (Cup)