Fakel
15:00
Akhmat
Tue 27 Oct, 15:00
Fakel Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
33%
Bookmakers 32%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
40%
Bookmakers 42%
Us 40%Bookmakers 42%
Edge -2.3 pts
Uncertainty ±3.5%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 40% against a market price of 42% (-2.3%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFakel
LWWLL
- 24 Oct · H v Rodina Moskva 0–1
- 17 Oct · A v Krylia Sovetov 2–1 (xG 0.73–1.80)
- 13 Oct · A v FC Krasnodar 2–0
- 10 Oct · H v Lokomotiv 0–5
- 16 Sep · A v Spartak Moscow 0–1 (xG 0.07–2.54)
Akhmat
LLLDL
- 23 Oct · H v FC Orenburg 0–1 (xG 1.65–0.76)
- 18 Oct · A v Zenit 2–3 (xG 0.62–1.46)
- 14 Oct · H v Dynamo 1–2
- 11 Oct · H v Baltika 0–0
- 17 Sep · A v Akron 0–2
Head-to-head
Fakel 1 · draws 2 · Akhmat 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 18 Aug 2026 · Akhmat 2–1 Fakel (Cup)
- 10 Aug 2026 · Fakel 0–0 Akhmat (Premier League)
- 5 Apr 2025 · Fakel 0–0 Akhmat (Premier League)
- 18 Oct 2024 · Akhmat 2–3 Fakel (Premier League)