FC Krasnodar
17:30
Dynamo
Tue 27 Oct, 17:30
Ozon Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 78%Books 79% Best odds 1.24 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
41%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 41%Bookmakers 45%
Edge -3.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 41% against a market price of 45% (-3.5%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFC Krasnodar
DDLLD
- 24 Oct · H v Baltika 1–1 (xG 0.92–0.83)
- 17 Oct · A v Lokomotiv 3–3 (xG 1.37–2.10)
- 13 Oct · H v Fakel 0–2
- 10 Oct · H v Zenit 2–3
- 17 Sep · A v FC Orenburg 0–0 (xG 1.28–1.44)
Dynamo
LWWWW
- 24 Oct · A v Akron 1–3 (xG 2.14–0.86)
- 18 Oct · H v CSKA Moscow 3–1 (xG 2.16–1.91)
- 14 Oct · A v Akhmat 2–1
- 11 Oct · A v Rubin 1–0
- 17 Sep · A v FC Rostov 3–0
Head-to-head
FC Krasnodar 2 · draws 3 · Dynamo 1, 1.3 goals a game
- 19 Aug 2026 · Dynamo 0–1 FC Krasnodar (Cup)
- 11 May 2026 · Dynamo 2–1 FC Krasnodar (Premier League)
- 7 May 2026 · FC Krasnodar 0–0 Dynamo (Cup)
- 8 Apr 2026 · Dynamo 0–0 FC Krasnodar (Cup)
- 30 Sep 2025 · FC Krasnodar 0–0 Dynamo (Cup)
- 13 Aug 2025 · Dynamo 0–4 FC Krasnodar (Cup)