Krylia Sovetov
14:00
Dinamo Makhachkala
Thu 29 Oct, 14:00
Solidarnost Samara Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 74%Books 73% Best odds 1.31 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
49%
Bookmakers 50%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 49%Bookmakers 50%
Edge -1.3 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 49% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 49% against a market price of 50% (-1.3%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsKrylia Sovetov
WLLDD
- 24 Oct · A v Rubin 2–0 (xG 1.02–0.27)
- 17 Oct · H v Fakel 1–2 (xG 1.80–0.73)
- 14 Oct · H v Baltika 0–2
- 10 Oct · H v Spartak Moscow 1–1
- 16 Sep · A v Lokomotiv 1–1 (xG 2.27–0.95)
Dinamo Makhachkala
LDLLL
- 25 Oct · A v Zenit 0–2 (xG 0.94–3.74)
- 17 Oct · H v Akron 1–1 (xG 1.60–0.91)
- 14 Oct · H v Zenit 1–2
- 10 Oct · A v FC Orenburg 0–4
- 17 Sep · H v CSKA Moscow 1–3
Head-to-head
Krylia Sovetov 2 · draws 1 · Dinamo Makhachkala 3, 3.7 goals a game
- 16 Aug 2026 · Krylia Sovetov 1–4 Dinamo Makhachkala (Premier League)
- 4 Aug 2026 · Dinamo Makhachkala 1–2 Krylia Sovetov (Cup)
- 8 Mar 2026 · Krylia Sovetov 2–0 Dinamo Makhachkala (Premier League)
- 1 Nov 2025 · Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 Krylia Sovetov (Premier League)
- 15 Mar 2025 · Dinamo Makhachkala 4–0 Krylia Sovetov (Premier League)
- 2 Oct 2024 · Krylia Sovetov 3–3 Dinamo Makhachkala (Cup)