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FC Orenburg
13:00
Rodina Moskva
Wed 28 Oct, 13:00 Gazovik Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
50%
Bookmakers 51%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 50%Bookmakers 51% Edge -1.1 pts Uncertainty ±3.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 50% against a market price of 51% (-1.1%).

The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

FC Orenburg

WDWWD
  • 23 Oct · A v Akhmat 1–0 (xG 0.76–1.65)
  • 19 Oct · A v Rodina Moskva 2–2 (xG 2.31–1.90)
  • 15 Oct · A v Rubin 4–1
  • 10 Oct · H v Dinamo Makhachkala 4–0
  • 17 Sep · H v FC Krasnodar 0–0 (xG 1.44–1.28)

Rodina Moskva

WDLLD
  • 24 Oct · A v Fakel 1–0 (xG 1.20–0.64)
  • 19 Oct · H v FC Orenburg 2–2 (xG 1.90–2.31)
  • 15 Oct · H v Spartak Moscow 2–4
  • 11 Oct · A v CSKA Moscow 0–3
  • 16 Sep · H v Rubin 1–1 (xG 1.12–1.55)

Head-to-head

FC Orenburg 1 · draws 1 · Rodina Moskva 0, 4.5 goals a game

  • 19 Oct 2026 · Rodina Moskva 2–2 FC Orenburg (Premier League)
  • 18 Aug 2026 · Rodina Moskva 1–4 FC Orenburg (Cup)