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Spartak Moscow
17:30
Rubin
Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 Lukoil Arena

Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found
  • Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 cornersBanker
    Us 66%Books 61% Edge +5.7 pts Best odds 1.56 (1xBet) Expected return +3.4%

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 76%Books 77% Best odds 1.25 (Pinnacle)

Most likely: Home win

Home win
68%
Bookmakers 68%
Draw
21%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
11%
Bookmakers 11%
Us 68%Bookmakers 68% Edge -0.7 pts Uncertainty ±1.4%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

  • Home win: 68% against a market price of 68% (-0.7%).

The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Spartak Moscow

LWWDW
  • 25 Oct · A v CSKA Moscow 0–2 (xG 1.97–1.69)
  • 18 Oct · H v Rubin 4–0 (xG 3.39–0.32)
  • 15 Oct · A v Rodina Moskva 4–2
  • 10 Oct · A v Krylia Sovetov 1–1
  • 16 Sep · H v Fakel 1–0 (xG 2.54–0.07)

Rubin

LLLLD
  • 24 Oct · H v Krylia Sovetov 0–2 (xG 0.27–1.02)
  • 18 Oct · A v Spartak Moscow 0–4 (xG 0.32–3.39)
  • 15 Oct · H v FC Orenburg 1–4
  • 11 Oct · H v Dynamo 0–1
  • 16 Sep · A v Rodina Moskva 1–1 (xG 1.55–1.12)

Head-to-head

Spartak Moscow 4 · draws 1 · Rubin 1, 2.5 goals a game

  • 18 Oct 2026 · Spartak Moscow 4–0 Rubin (Premier League)
  • 19 Aug 2026 · Rubin 1–1 Spartak Moscow (Cup)
  • 11 May 2026 · Spartak Moscow 2–1 Rubin (Premier League)
  • 23 Aug 2025 · Rubin 0–2 Spartak Moscow (Premier League)
  • 9 Mar 2025 · Rubin 2–1 Spartak Moscow (Premier League)
  • 31 Aug 2024 · Spartak Moscow 1–0 Rubin (Premier League)