Barnet
19:45
York
Tue 27 Oct, 19:45
The Hive Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 84%Books 85% Best odds 1.17 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
49%
Bookmakers 47%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 49%Bookmakers 47%
Edge +1.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 49% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.9% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 49% against a market price of 47% (+1.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBarnet
DLWWD
- 24 Oct · H v Oldham 1–1 (xG 1.44–2.51)
- 20 Oct · H v Swindon Town 1–3 (xG 3.42–1.46)
- 17 Oct · A v Tranmere 2–1 (xG 2.39–0.96)
- 10 Oct · A v Bristol Rovers 3–1 (xG 2.65–2.39)
- 6 Oct · A v AFC Wimbledon 0–0
York
WDDDW
- 24 Oct · H v Port Vale 2–0 (xG 1.21–0.71)
- 20 Oct · H v Accrington ST 1–1 (xG 1.87–1.05)
- 17 Oct · A v Newport County 1–1 (xG 1.09–1.04)
- 10 Oct · H v Northampton 1–1 (xG 2.32–1.03)
- 26 Sep · H v Gillingham 3–0
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.