Barnet
1–3
Swindon Town
Tue 20 Oct, 18:45
The Hive Stadium
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
65%
Bookmakers 64%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
16%
Bookmakers 16%
Us 65%Bookmakers 64%
Edge +0.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-1.9% expected per unit).
- Home win: 65% against a market price of 64% (+0.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBarnet
WWDWW
- 17 Oct · A v Tranmere 2–1 (xG 2.39–0.96)
- 10 Oct · A v Bristol Rovers 3–1 (xG 2.65–2.39)
- 6 Oct · A v AFC Wimbledon 0–0
- 19 Sep · H v Fleetwood Town 3–1 (xG 3.79–2.13)
- 12 Sep · H v Accrington ST 2–1 (xG 1.79–0.85)
Swindon Town
DLLDL
- 17 Oct · H v Walsall 1–1 (xG 1.91–1.75)
- 10 Oct · H v Crewe 0–1 (xG 1.08–2.00)
- 3 Oct · A v Rochdale 0–1 (xG 1.53–2.42)
- 26 Sep · H v Accrington ST 1–1
- 22 Sep · H v Newport County 0–2
Head-to-head
Barnet 1 · draws 0 · Swindon Town 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 17 Feb 2026 · Barnet 1–2 Swindon Town (League Two)
- 19 Aug 2025 · Swindon Town 0–2 Barnet (League Two)